August Mid-Month Market Outlook

Post by: Andrew Flachner of the Andrew Scott Real Estate Group

Housing activity continues to remain above year-ago levels despite some setbacks resulting from the now-expired tax credit. Improved stability in home prices with similar levels of distressed properties seen last year offers a hopeful sign the market is holding its ground. However, the economy still has a considerable way to go to achieve its full recovery.

Overview

Consumers are saving more and being picky about how they spend their money. While a higher savings rate means less spending in the near term, this is a positive sign that households are taking control of their finances to build some cushion that can be used to pay down debt and/or support future spending.Existing home sales marked the twelfth consecutive month of year-over-year increase in June. On a monthly basis, sales activity eased 5.1% from May. The moderation in home sales reflects “understandable swings as buyers responded to the tax credits,” according to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. He anticipates such impact to show up in the next two months.


June’s median home price increased for thefourth consecutive month. Distressed homes, accounting for 32% of sales last month, continued holding home prices at highly affordable levels for the time being. While distressed sales hovered around the same level as a year ago, the gain in home prices is pointing to a sustained stability in the making.

Interest Rates

Mortgage rates set a new record low in July as consumer confidence softened and unemployment remained elevated. This presents a great opportunity for buyers and investors. Coupled with lowered home prices and a robust rental market, investors are finding their way to cash-flow opportunities. As recovery gains deeper roots, rates will need to rise to keep inflation in check. Rates below as of August 6.

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July Mid-Month Market Outlook

Post by: Andrew Flachner of the Andrew Scott Real Estate Group

The U.S. housing market continues to benefit from the tax credit: home prices and sales remain above year-ago levels. As the summer progresses, however, the positive impact of government stimulus will wind down. Experts point to improved stability as a sign the market can likely hold its ground without further support from the government.

However, economists indicate that the key for the housing market through the end of 2010 will be job growth and a manageable level of distressed properties.The economy continues its journey to recovery with two steps forward and one step back, but the ground lost during the recession was great and the progress so far should be celebrated. The road to this particular recovery has been expected to be more prolonged than many previous recovery periods. Consumer confidence lowered from its high in May primarily due to a disappointing employment report, while the swelling federal deficit has also raised concern. Unmanageable debt levels have lead some European countries into their current situation, and Americans do not want to follow suit.A job bill that would have further extended unemployment benefits has not gotten off the ground due to concerns over the deficit. Sited as a top priority for the government, a financial overhaul bill continues to proceed though Congress. The bill’s goal is to protect the financial system and the average consumer from unnecessary risk and unsound lending practices in an effort to build a stronger system for the long-term stability of the U.S. economy.